I would imagine that there has been a great deal of curiosity in Russia and, indeed, the world, concerning the attempt on the life of Donald Trump last night. I am frankly surprised there has not been any discussion of this at this particular forum but I understand this forum only has a few active users.
First of all, I would like to share with you a first-hand American perspective on just how definitively and radically this has focused the attention of the American people. July 13 has brought what was once a lingering suspicion that we were heading toward dystopia into a recognition that we have arrived there. As columnist Roger Kimball recently put it, it is surprising that something like this wasn't attempted sooner. The reason it was not attempted sooner was because the Biden regime held out hope that other methods could be used to prevent Trump's re-ascendance which would not transform him into a martyr. After a disastrous debate performance, it became clear that Biden had no chance of winning re-election. Two weeks is about the length of time it takes to put together an assassination plot so thoroughly ham-handed as the one we witnessed yesterday. It entailed the recruitment of a young, confused 20-year-old who wasted time and bullets shooting inconsequential members of the crowd (presumably because of their Hispanic ethnicity) prior to his attempt on the President.
It seems quite plausible, although it is not being discussed in any official or unofficial news outlets, that Thomas Crooks was a supporter of the Republican ticket who didn't particularly care for Trump and wanted to maximize the chances of the "ticket" winning while preferring that it not be Trump at the head of that ticket. This incident, if we are being truthful, does not fit the profile of a CIA action.
That said, the vast majority of Americans, being aware of the CIA's long history of assassinations; particularly under Democrat Presidents; will not look so deeply beneath the surface. The discussion in my blue-collar workplace (and many others) features a uniform consensus that Biden was somehow behind the attempt on Trump's life. At the range of only 140 meters, it is possible that the other shooting victims were used in order to help the shooter to calibrate his shot on-the-fly and that it was, in fact, Trump's ear which was the intended target and not his head. This seems illogical, however, as Trump would have been wearing a bulletproof vest and a chest wound would have, therefore, been the "most survivable" wound which Crooks could have inflicted if his intention had been to assist Trump. It is possible that Crooks wished to start a civil war rather than influence the election. It is possible that he wanted to become a perverse sort of celebrity.
Regardless of what precisely led up to this event, the result is inescapable: There is now a 100% likelihood that Donald J. Trump will be the 47th President, provided that his safety can be ensured over the upcoming months. Barring this, his successor will be the 47th President.
There have not been, as of yet, new opinion polls conducted since this very recent event. When such polls are conducted over this next week, it will likely be revealed that Donald Trump enjoys somewhere between a 5 and 10 percent gain after having already been ahead by a margin of 5 percent in the popular vote. The ramification for our elections is that the Republican Party, which is opposed to wasting more American taxpayer dollars on Ukraine, will gain many seats in our Congress and will likely firmly control both the House of Representatives and Senate beginning in 2025. With all three branches of our government; Legislative, Executive and Judicial all under Republican control and with Trump likely being able to get at least two more Supreme Court appointments in his second term, the Republican Party will likely retain a great deal of influence for years to come despite predictions that shifting demographics (namely a decline in the proportion of the U.S. population which is of purely white, European extraction) would lead to the Republican Party becoming an irrelevancy.
On that subject, a majority of Hispanic voters, particularly in the critical "swing states" of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Michigan and Wisconsin are now Trump supporters. At the most fundamental, this shift is attributable to the working-class mindset of Hispanic Americans combined with their experience with Biden's tough immigration policies (and Trump's stance, which was much friendlier to immigrants than his 2016 campaign rhetoric would have led them to expect.) Although black Americans still overwhelmingly support Democrats (because they have campaigned for decades on providing cash handouts to black Americans in exchange for their votes,) many black Americans, perhaps about 15%, now support Trump.
With security tighter than ever and with Trump now garnering a sympathy vote, the urgency with which the Democrats and their financial backers will wish to replace Biden has never been more intense. Biden is now the face of an assassination plot in the minds of both Republicans and independent voters and he is "bad for the brand" in an all-new way. 25th Amendment discussions were already underway prior to July 13th which will now be ramped up. Biden's television advertisements have been pulled by his own team both due to a lack of funding and because of an aversion to association with the assassination attempt. Whether he is removed from power, resigns, or simply drops out of the race and allows his advisors to continue in the job of governing for the last few months of his term, Biden and the Democratic Party now possess a 0% probability of
as a direct consequence of a disastrous debate and the perception that he is likely guilty of an attempt to kill his opponent.
What do the next four years have in store? This is now the real question. What will Trump do once back in power, knowing that he has the backing of both Congress and the Supreme Court? In truth, there is no limitation to his power. If a limitation exists, it lies in his own inhibitions. Donald Trump is fundamentally, a disciplined person, contrary to public perception. When his brother struggled with alcoholism, he implored Donald not to drink. Donald has spent a lifetime working to keep his promise to his brother. For Trump, this is not about retribution but, rather, survival, at this point. It became clear shortly after Biden took power that, if given the chance, Biden's allies would have Trump thrown in prison, which simply will never sit well with Donald Trump. The only way he can be ensured that attempts to kill or incarcerate him will not continue at the end of the next term is to dissolve those organizations which might be used to bring this about such as the FBI. This would be welcomed by Americans on the left and right who wish to be free from police-state oppression.
There are likely to be many reforms and anti-corruption drives in the next four years, but it is not clear whether Trump will stop at neutralizing those machinations of government which may later endanger him or whether he will take advantage of a rare opportunity to bring meaningful social change across the board. Once the FBI is neutralized, it seems clear to this author that it would be most logical to put a stop to the media as it exists and to make it against the law for any tech company to engage in any type of censorship for any reason. A Constitutional Amendment which extends Constitutional freedoms to the State, Local, Private Property/Workplace and to the Internet would be a logical move.
This author can only assume that it is likely that Trump, despite having a great deal of power, will mostly continue to operate in his second term within the confines of the law rather than exercising dictatorial control as his predecessor has. It is typical in American politics for expected reforms to be underwhelming in their scope and impact. Americans expected that Barack Obama would "buy them a home" and he did not. American expected that Donald Trump would deport Mexican immigrants and nuke North Korea and he didn't. In fact, Trump released half of the federal prison population, gaining support from the black community, which constitutes 90% of our prison population.
I believe that we can reasonably expect that Trump will not make the same mistake he made as he left office in 2021 in failing to secure a pardon, thus failing to immunize himself against future politically-motivated actions against him. At minimum, he will overturn those actions already taken against himself, immunize himself against further such actions which would be likely in the future and secure a pardon from his Vice President by simply resigning a day before the end of his term in 2029.
I am hopeful that an end can be put to the bloodshed in Europe and that eventuality seems more likely now that political change has become inevitable in the very country which consistently sends the most armaments to Ukraine. Make no mistake, if that sniper's bullet had hit its mark, we would now be embroiled in a civil war. We are by no means out of the woods when it comes to the possibility that Biden may, in his desperation, attempt an entirely different and more dangerous gambit as Trump's security will likely be impenetrable from this point forward. That gambit would likely take the form of the further escalation of the conflict in Europe. This power rests exclusively in the hands of the Biden regime for the next six months. Much can happen in that length of time. Biden is one who leans on that old political wisdom which states that a wartime President is more likely to be re-elected. A new, dramatic escalation and perhaps a terrorist attack within our own borders could be leveraged in order to sway polling numbers back in the other direction just a week prior to our own election. Those who are informed know that John McCain attempted such a scheme through his CIA contacts in the 2008 election but that the attempt was halted when a dead drop communique was intercepted by a bystander, foiling a plot against the Long Island Regional Rail which was organized by David Coleman Headley and his associate, Bryant Neal Vinas, who were drug addicts in the employ of the CIA who thought that a well-trodden grassy area near the perimeter of a Naval installation was a good place to leave a message with secret writings for later pickup. I couldn't help but be reminded of that particular incident which seems like it as a lifetime ago but which was, interestingly enough, never reported in the media.
The last time a front-running candidate was successfully assassinated in this country, his name was Robert F. Kennedy. The consequence of that assassination was that figures such as Lyndon B. Johnson, Edward Lansdale, Richard Helms and others were never held accountable for their role in ordering and planning the "four big" assassinations of the 1960s. It also resulted in the election of Richard Nixon, whose policies were a total disaster for the United States, domestically. I must conclude that we have narrowly averted a similar misfortune through the events of July 13.
We have not seen the last of the beast that is the power establishment in the United States and it is not going to be a simple or quick matter to sever its many heads.
